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-  Assume  
  contains  
  examples drawn independently of each
other and of  
 , according to the probability distribution  
 . -  Also assume  
  and  
  commits  
  errors over
these  
  examples ( 
 ) -  The most probable value of  
  is  
  and -  With 95% probability  
  lies in the interval
 
  -  This can be done for any percent confidence level.  The smaller
the percent the smaller the confidence interval.
 
 
Patricia Riddle 
Fri May 15 13:00:36 NZST 1998